Presque Isle, Race 1, 5:05 P.M. ET

Race of the Day, June 11

Presque Isle Downs, Erie, PA, 5:05 P.M. ET

Maiden, 1 mile, 3 yr. old, Fillies, Purse: $35K.

Jump on your mobile smartphone (or computer) at the end of the day and watch the 1st from Presque Isle Downs with All Day Racing.  It’s a maiden allowance to kick off the card.  Here’s what you need to know:

Six Facts:

  1. Elysian (#3, 6/5) should be the heavy favorite.  She failed last time out at 1/9, after ducking in and hitting the fence with a clear lead.  Avoiding that sort of trouble should easily find the winner’s circle today.
  2. Stickthelanding (#9, 5/2) ran sharp last time out off the layoff for a trainer who usually gets it done at the maiden allowance level. An improvement is likely, but Elysian would need to falter.
  3. Quiet Elite (#2, 5/1) ships from River Downs — I mean, Belterra Park — where she ran in an Ohio-bred stakes, which may actually be a weaker race than this one.
  4. Street Interest (#1, 8/1) makes the second start of a layoff and should be returning to an ideal distance.  The rail makes this one a tad interesting.
  5. Keystone Kelly (#6, 10/1) debuts for Caruso, a trainer who can get it done with firsters.  Decent turf breeding here, which may translate to the polytrack.
  6. Etna’s Anger (#4, 3-1) should put forth a solid effort, but it is likely to be too slow, unless others do not fire.

Three Questions:

  1. Did that adventurous last race take anything out of Elysian?  It’s doubtful. She’s the fastest and, most likely, will win easily.
  2. What kind of debut can we expect from Keystone Kelly?  She’s the only one who could beat Elysian, if Elysian runs her race.
  3. Will the race set up for Stickthelanding? She should improve, but would need a bit of pace in front of her to get it done.

Fair Odds:

  1. Street Interest:  12-1
  2. Quiet Elite:  6-1
  3. Elysian:  1-1
  4. Etna’s Anger: 6-1
  5. Fairly Lovely: 30-1
  6. Keystone Kelly:  5-1
  7. Cue’s Haven:  75-1
  8. Lady Monarch: 12-1
  9. Stickthelanding:  4-1

What I’m thinking of wagering: 

  1. Play Elysian at even money or higher.
  2. If not, play Keystone Kelly at 5-1 or greater, but not more than 10-1.   
  3. Consider Keystone Kelly and Stickthelanding as straight exactas under Elysian, if total return from both plays is 8-1.